{"id":168570,"date":"2026-05-19T13:46:55","date_gmt":"2026-05-19T05:46:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gocpmall.com\/?p=168570"},"modified":"2026-05-19T13:46:55","modified_gmt":"2026-05-19T05:46:55","slug":"%e6%be%b3%e6%b4%b24%e6%9c%88%e4%bc%81%e4%b8%9a%e4%bf%a1%e5%bf%83%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e5%be%ae%e5%8d%87-%e4%bb%8d%e6%b7%b1%e9%99%b7%e4%bd%8e%e8%bf%b7%e5%8c%ba%e9%97%b4-_-%e4%b8%9c%e6%96%b9%e8%b4%a2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gocpmall.com\/?p=168570","title":{"rendered":"\u6fb3\u6d324\u6708\u4f01\u4e1a\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u5fae\u5347 \u4ecd\u6df1\u9677\u4f4e\u8ff7\u533a\u95f4 _ \u4e1c\u65b9\u8d22\u5bcc\u7f51"},"content":{"rendered":"

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新华财经北京5月12日电澳大利亚国民 银行 （NAB）发布的月度企业调查结果显示，该国4月企业信心虽有小幅改善，但仍深陷低迷区间，核心原因是中东战争导致能源成本飙升，持续挤压企业利润率，并对企业投资计划形成明显压力。 调查数据显示，4月澳洲企业信心指数从3月的-29小幅回升至-24，回升幅度有限。值得注意的是，3月该指数曾暴跌29点，创下历史上第二大单月跌幅，反映出地缘冲突对企业情绪的剧烈冲击。 企业现况指数同样呈现疲软态势，4月下降3点至+3，为2020年以来第二低水平，且已连续第四个月下滑，表明企业当前经营环境持续承压。 NAB经济学家Michael Hayes指出，物价上涨和利润率压力正开始影响经济活动和投资指标，近几个月的远期订单、资本支出、现金流和就业均出现明显下滑，且均远低于各自长期平均水平。 具体来看，4月远期订单进一步下降4点，自2月以来累计下降11点，显著低于长期平均水平；资本支出下滑8点，创下后疫情时期最大单月跌幅，企业投资意愿持续低迷。 成本端压力持续加剧是拖累企业经营的关键因素。4月澳洲各项成本指标大幅攀升，采购成本按季度计算上涨4.5%，远高于1.8%的销售价格涨幅，企业盈利空间被进一步压缩；零售价格涨幅从0.6%升至3.2%，物价上涨压力逐步传导至终端消费领域。 为遏制顽固通胀，澳洲联储已实施连续三次加息，将基准利率上调至4.35%。政策制定者担忧，企业可能将持续攀升的能源成本转嫁给消费者，进而推高未来通胀预期，形成“成本-通胀”螺旋，进一步制约经济复苏步伐。 当前，中东局势的不确定性仍在持续，能源价格波动风险未消，叠加国内加息政策的滞后影响，澳洲企业信心短期内难以实现实质性改善。 （文章来源：新华财经）
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