{"id":176707,"date":"2026-09-03T02:45:01","date_gmt":"2026-09-02T18:45:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gocpmall.com\/?p=176707"},"modified":"2026-09-03T02:45:01","modified_gmt":"2026-09-02T18:45:01","slug":"%e9%9b%86%e8%bf%90-%e8%bf%90%e5%8a%9b%e6%80%bb%e9%87%8f%e6%8a%95%e6%94%be%e9%80%90%e6%ad%a5%e9%87%8a%e6%94%be-%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e4%bb%b7%e5%b7%ae%e4%bb%8d%e6%9c%89%e7%a9%ba%e9%97%b4-_-%e4%b8%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gocpmall.com\/?p=176707","title":{"rendered":"\u96c6\u8fd0 | \u8fd0\u529b\u603b\u91cf\u6295\u653e\u9010\u6b65\u91ca\u653e \u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u5dee\u4ecd\u6709\u7a7a\u95f4 _ \u4e1c\u65b9\u8d22\u5bcc\u7f51"},"content":{"rendered":"

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集运欧线：微偏强。中国出口集装箱运价指数（欧洲航线）2300.64（+30.46），上海出口集装箱运价指数（ 综合 指数）3509.53（+99.9），波罗的海干散货指数3186（+345），SCFIS基差08合约（+91.02）。出口仍呈现韧性，台风造成一定 港口 拥堵也影响了船期，返程空舱减少较多，中美与中非贸易量近期小幅回升，中欧贸易受近期政治冲突影响。利多：美伊局势不确定性仍然较强，保险伊朗周边订单价格仍居高不下，原油价格强势推高 航运 成本。情绪刺激展期，远月出现明显补涨。利空：出口少许下降，关税及反倾销形成贸易阻力，伊朗与阿曼讨论开放霍尔木茨海峡。静态因素：运力总量投放逐步释放，市场价差仍有空间（战争影响权重较低的情况下）。盘面：主力合约10仍有补涨机会，注意战争预期影响月间差（9-12月差收缩机会待验证）。 （文章来源：中财 期货 ）
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